Auburn Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF Betting Preview

Screen Shot 2016-11-25 at 5.41.51 PMThe Iron Bowl has always been a fun matchup and this one figures to be no different when the 13th ranked Auburn Tigers wage war with the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide at  Bryant-Denny Stadium. The 8-3 Tigers are off a 55-0 drubbing of Alabama A&M, while the 11-0 Tide are off a 31-3 win over Chattanooga. This game has a start time of 3:30 pm EST.

Vegas odds have the Crimson Tide listed as 17 point favorites, while the total has been set at 46. The game has a start time of 3:30 pm EST and will be televised on CBS.

Breaking Down The Auburn Tigers

The Auburn Tigers have had a solid year and while a win in this game won’t hurt the Tide at all, The Tigers will still be fired up to play this game. It is the Iron Bowl that has seen some crazy things happen over the years. The Tigers started their year at 1-2, before rattling off six straight wins. They then took a hard-fought 13-7 loss at Georgia, which knocked them out the race for the SEC West Title. They then bounce back with a 55-0 destruction of Alabama A&M last week. The Tigers have been led by a very solid defense this year as they come in ranked 18th in yards allowed 55th vs the pass, 17th vs the run and 7th in points allowed, giving up just 14.3 ppg so far. They have yet to allow more than 30 points in a game and have allowed 16 or less 8 times. This is a very good defense. But will be facing a very good offense in this one. Kamryn Pettway lead the offense as he has run for 1106 yards with seven TDs and that is despite missing the last two games. He is expected to play in this one. QB Sean White has had a decent year as he has thrown for 1644 yards and has run for another 148, but he is questionable for this one after missing the last game.  Overall, this offense comes in ranked 29th in total yards, 109th in passing, 5th in rushing and 39th in scoring, putting up 34.1 ppg. That run game may not have great success vs this Alabama defense.

Breaking Down the Alabama Crimson Tide

The Crimson Tide are in familiar territory and that is atop the college football polls. It really is annoying to see them up they every year, but you have to respect the success they have. Every year they lose a million players to the NFL, but thanks to great recruiting and a great coaching staff, it doesn’t phase them at all. The Tide come in at 11-0 and will face the Florida gators in the SEC Title game before moving on to the playoffs, and they will be in the playoffs even if they lose the SEC Title game. As always, the Tide have been led by their amazing defense that has allowed a total of 6 points in their last 3 games and they have allowed 10 or less in eight games. Overall, they come in ranked 2nd in total yards allowed, 13th vs the pass, 1st vs the run and 2nd in points allowed, giving up just 11.4 ppg. That run defense will be tested vs the 5th ranked ground attack in the nation. On offense, they have been led by freshman QB Jalen Hurts, who has thrown for 2139 yards, with 18 TDs and 7 INTs. RB Damien Harris has had a solid season as he has run for 850 yards so far. This offense has been solid all year long and comes in ranked 28th in total yards, 78th in passing, 13th in rushing and 14th in scoring, putting up 40.3 ppg. They may be4 hard-pressed to hit the 40 point mark vs a team that has yet to allow more than 29 points this year.

Trends: Auburn has gone 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game, but just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November. The Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game, while the Under is 12-3-2 in their last 17 vs. a team with a winning record.

Alabama has gone 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in November and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. The Over is 4-1 the last five meetings in this series, while the Under is 16-5-1 in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

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