CFB action on Saturday afternoon as the Army Black Knights (6-5) wage war on the Navy Midshipmen (9-3) at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland, This is the last regular season game for both teams, but they will both be in Bowl games as well. The Midshipmen has won the last 14 in this series and they own a 56-49-7 lifetime record vs Army. This game has a start time of 3:00 pm EST.
Vegas odds have the Midshipmen listed as 6.6 point favorites, while the total has been set at 47.5. The game has a start time of 3:00 pm EST and will be televised on CBS.
Breaking Down The Army Black Knights
Last year the Black Knights had just 2 wins the whole season, but they have bounced back to post a 6-5 record so far and have already been invited to play North Texas in the Heart Of Dallas Bowl, later in December. This has been a very nice turnaround, but before they get to their bowl game, they would love to end a 14 game losing streak at the hands of the Navy. Last year they fell by just 4 points in this game and the year before it was by just 7 points, so they have been right there in both games. Can they get over the hump in this one? We shall see. The Knights have been led by their dominant ground attack that ranked 2nd in the nation, putting up 328.7 ypg so far. They have been led by Andy Davidson, who has run for 818 yards, but he is listed as questionable for this one. Still, they have some good solid backs in their stable and will be taking on a below average run defense. The Black Knights are 68th in total offense, 128th in passing and 62nd in scoring, putting up 30.0 ppg. The defense is really what has led this team as they come in ranked 5th in total yards allowed, 6th vs the pass, 21st vs the run and 14th in points allowed, giving up just 19.1 ppg. Their run defense will be key here vs a very strong Navy ground attack.
Breaking Down The Navy Midshipmen
The Navy Midshipmen have had a solid season as expected, but they would love to make it 15 in a row here vs Army and also get the taste out of their mouths from last week’s 34-10 loss to Temple in the AAC Championship game. Still, they are 9-3 on the year and will be facing Louisiana Tech in the Armed Forces Bowl. Navy has been led by QB Will Worth, who has thrown for 1397 yards and eight TDs, while also rushing for 1196 yards and 25 more TDs, but the bad news here is that he is out for the rest of the seaso. That is a big blow to this team and it could be the break that Army needs to break their long losing streak in this series. Taking over at QB will bs Zach Abey, who threw for 104 yards and rasn for 70 yards in the loss to Temple. This is a downgrade at the QB slot. For the year, Navy ranks 35th in total offense, 124th in passing, 3rd in rushing and 18th in scoring, putting up 39.1 ppg. On defense they have really struggled as they are 86th in total yards allowed, 105th vs the pass, 67th vs the run and 82nd in points allowed giving up 30.4 ppg. With a new QB and a leaky defense, it will be interesting to see how the Midshipmen far in this one vs a team that they have dominated.
Trends: The Black Knights have gone 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game, but just 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game and 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win. The Over is 7-3 in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game, while the Under is 13-3 in their last 16 games in December.
Navy has gone 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game and 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points, but just 1-4 ATS their last five games in this series. The Over is 10-2 in their last 12 games on fieldturf, while the Under is 7-1 in their last 8 neutral site games.
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