Appalachian State vs. Arkansas State NCAA Basketball Best Bets for Friday

Forward Norchad Omier #15 of the Arkansas State Red Wolves dunks the ball. John E. Moore III/Getty Images/AFP.

The Sun Belt Conference wraps up play this weekend and Appalachian State at Arkansas State finishes this evening. App. State’s seed is almost determined, but that’s not the case for the Red Wolves on Senior Night, looking to move up.

At 12-5 in the SBC, Appalachian State needs a win to secure the No. 2 behind regular-season conference champion Texas State. A loss and Troy victory over the league-leading Bobcats would drop the Mountaineers to the third spot based on win percentage.

However, that would have little impact should they meet in the semi-finals since it is at a neutral site in Pensacola, FL.

Arkansas State is 7-7 and tied with Louisiana at .500 (8-8) for sixth place. Because of canceled games, not everyone will play the same amount of contests and there is a logjam in spots 5 thru 8 in the SBC and how everyone does will settle their fate, including the Red Wolves, who could finish 5th.

Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves

Friday, February 25, 2022 – 08:00 PM EST at First National Bank Arena

In spite of the differences in records, sportsbooks like BetRivers have Arkansas State as a two-point home favorite. The Red Wolves lost the first meeting 29 days ago 61-53 as 3.5-point road underdogs and should be fired up for revenge and the send-off of the seniors.

Not everyone follows the college basketball odds of the Sun Belt, so let’s give you information on these teams.

The Mountaineers Have Been as Good as Expected

In the preseason polls for the SBC, most had App. State (18-12, 14-12-1 ATS) in third place and that’s about where they are. The Mountaineers play at a somewhat deliberate pace, though not slow, more working the ball to find a better shot. Despite their patience, this has not led to improved shooting, as they are only at 41.8%, scoring 66.9 points an outing.

The three players to watch are guards Adrian Delph and Michael Almonacy, their first and third-leading scorers. Donovan Gregory is the second top point producer and second in rebounding and does his work in and around the paint despite being only 6’5.

App. State is a solid defensive team in holding opponents to 62.4 PPG at 41.8% and they are stingy behind the three-point line in permitting just 29.7%.

Arkansas State Looking for More Offensive Production

The Red Wolves (16-10, 12-11 ATS) score more easily than their counterpart at 71.2 PPG on the season but that has not been the case of late. Arkansas State has dumped four of their past five battles and the offense has scuffled in tallying only 64.4 PPG.

Though coach Mike Balado’s crew forces 14 turnovers a game, that’s also how many miscues they make. Since they only make five 3’s a contest, they don’t maximize possessions. However, Arky State does put up four more free throws a night compared to App. State which could matter.

Norchad Omier is a 6’7 freshman and a good one, averaging a double-double (17.4 PPG, 12.1 RPG). His sidekicks are in the backcourt, Desi Sills and Marquis Eaton, each of who score 12 and 11 PPG respectively.

The Red Wolves are more run-of-the-mill on defense, surrendering 68.2 PPG at 42.9%, and either they will have to show more on defense or up the scoring to come away with a winner.

What Is the Best Side to Be On?

In looking to find a winner for college basketball picks, this is a tough one. Appalachian State has shown the ability to find ways to win in conference contests and is 7-1 ATS on the SBC road this season.

Arkansas State cannot be taken lightly at home where they are 9-2 SU and if you take out the three non-lined games, they have won the others by an average of 8.5 PPG. The Red Wolves are 16-5 ATS playing against a team with a win percentage between 60% to 80% the last three seasons.

While we believe App. State is the better team, Arky State has more to play for and off their home loss to Coastal Carolina Wednesday, the Red Wolves are 8-1 ATS in home games after playing at home and find a way to take this SBC finale.

NCAAB Picks: Arkansas State -2 (-112) at BetRivers