When Underdogs Win SU

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15 underdogs have won SU since 1983
9 have scored 31 or more
Of the 6 who didn't 5 held their opponent to 17 or less with only the 1990 Giants giving up 19(2 of those were on a safety).

So,underdogs have basically either won scoring 31 or more or holding their opponent to 17 or less.

5 of the 15 have both scored 31 or more and held their opponent to 17 or less.

9 of 15 won by at least a TD.

 

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If you believe KC wins -6.5 is +250

Over 26.5 is+150
Over 30.5 is +285

KC holding SF to under 17.5 +250

 

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I personally bought the Chiefs to +3.5 based on some situational things.
That being said will there be 3 straight games decided by 3 or less?
Might be a good bet to take teams on an alternate spread just based on that.
Historically no matter how you cap the game one team pulls away or there is value on the ML with a dog.

Lines of 3 or less outcomes other than last year. Only going back to 2000 since people will say SBs use to be blowouts now they are always close/ Can still be close and get value on alternate line.

5 dogs have won by more than 10 and 1 ML of 7 or more. and 3 favorites.

Bucs by 22(dog)
Chiefs by 10
Pats by 10
Pats by 6 after trailing 28-3 lol
Pats by 4
Seattle by 35(dog)
Giants by 4(dog)
Packers by 6
Ravens by 27