NBA Betting Preview: Spurs at Heat

The Miami Heat get another chance to prove they can beat a top team when they host the San Antonio Spurs on Monday night (8:05 p.m. ET, ESPN).

The Heat beat the Lakers 94-88 as 1-point home dogs last week in a game that may have turned their season around. The win over the Lakers ended a five-game losing streak and Miami followed that win up by destroying Memphis 118-85 as an 8-point home chalk on Saturday.

Now the Heat (45-21 SU, 30-35-1 ATS) will get a shot at the Spurs (54-12 SU, 37-27-2 ATS), who have the best record in the NBA.

Miami is listed as a 4.5-point home favorite at and the total is set at 198.5. On the moneyline, the Heat are -200; the Spurs are +170.

This game on Monday is a really big one for the Heat because a loss would almost erase their past two wins against the Lakers and Grizzlies and put doubt into the minds of the players again. The Heat are just 2-9 this season against the league’s top teams with both of their wins coming against the Lakers.

The Heat were destroyed by the Spurs earlier this month losing 125-95 as 2.5-point road dogs. This game on Monday will show whether or not Miami has learned anything and is capable of beating the Spurs.

This is an critical time of the season for the Heat, who are playing good teams. They still have games against Oklahoma City, Atlanta and Denver coming up, but there is no question this game against the Spurs is one of the most important ones remaining in the regular season.

The Spurs have won three straight games overall including a 115-107 win on Saturday in Houston as 1-point road dogs. This is a tough scheduling spot for San Antonio – this is the Spurs’ the third game in four nights.

San Antonio has been solid on the road lately; the Spurs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Spurs also like Mondays – they are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 Monday games. And the Spurs are 25-10-1 ATS in their last 36 vs. the Southeast.

Here are some key NBA betting stats for Monday’s game:

The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five Monday games. The Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last seven vs. the Western Conference. The Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games. In this series, the Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

The over is 4-0 in the Spurs’ last four road games. The over is 5-0 in the Spurs’ last five vs. the Eastern Conference. The over is 5-1 in the Spurs’ last six vs. the Southeast. The over is 10-2 in Miami’s last 12 vs. the Western Conference.

In this series, the under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Miami.

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