Houston Texans vs Oakland Raiders MNF Week 11 Betting Preview

Screen Shot 2016-11-19 at 10.10.35 AMMonday night football action and the Houston Texans will head to the west coast to brawl with the surprising Oakland Raiders at the Oakland Coliseum. The Texans are at 6-3 on the year and off a 24-21 road win over the Jags, while the 7-2 Raiders are off 30-20 home win over Denver. This contest will be televised on ESPN with a start time of 8:30 pm EST.

Vegas odds have the Raiders listed as 6 point favorites, while the total has been set at 46.

Breaking Down The Houston Texans

The Houston Texans are having a solid season so far as they are 6-3 on the year and have won their last two games in a row. They are in first place in the AFC South by a game and a half over the surprising Titans, but the Titans probably won’t last and there isn’t anyone else to step up in what is the weakest division in the league. The Texans have been led by their defense this year, even though they lost J.J. Watt early on. The depth on this side of the ball is really good and they have shown that as the Texans enter this game ranked 4th in the league in total yards allowed, 3rd vs the pass, 26th vs the run and 12th in points allowed, giving up just 20.9 ppg. They will struggle vs a good Raiders run game, but if their excellent pass defense can slow down Derek Carr and company then they have a decent shot at winning this game. Their offense has not been good at all and it really looks like Brock Osweiler has been a waste of money, but they have a shot at breaking out in this one vs a bad raiders defense. That offense comes in ranked 30th in total yards 32nd in passing, 5th in rushing and 29th in scoring, putting up just 17.9 ppg so far.

Trends: The Texans have gone 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass and 6-0 ATS their last 6 games in November, but just 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Monday games. The Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games in Week 11, while the Under is 15-5-1 in their last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.

Breaking Down The Oakland Raiders

The Raiders continue to be the surprise of the league as they have won their last three games in a row and are at 7-2 overall. That are tied with the chiefs atop the what has become a very tough AFC West division. They have been breath of fresh air in what very well be their last year in Oakland as they could be headed to Las Vegas soon. The Raiders have been led by their offense this year, which has been one of the best in the league as they come in ranked 5th in the league in total yards, 6th in passing, 4th in rushing and 5th in scoring putting up 27.2 ppg so far. They have been led by Derek Carr, who has thrown for 2505 yards with 17 TDs and 3 INTs, while posting a 99.1 QBR, which is 9th in the league. His favorite target is Amari Cooper, who has 843 yards receiving, which is 3rd in the league. This passing game will be tested vs a very good Houston pass defense, but the Raiders run the ball well and if they do in this game, then that will open up their passing game even more. On defense, this has not been a good team as they come in ranked 28th in  yards allowed, 30th vs the pass, 21st vs the run and 21st in points allowed, giving up 21.8 ppg. They are taking on a weak offense in this one though.   

Trends:  The Raiders have gone 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs. the AFC and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in Week 11, but just 10-23-1 ATS in their last 34 games following a ATS win and 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 Monday games. The Over is 18-6-3 in their last 27 games in November, while the Under is 10-4 in their last 14 games following a bye week.

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