Green Bay Packers vs Washington Redskins NFL Week 11 SNF Betting Preview

Screen Shot 2016-11-19 at 10.07.54 AMThe Green Bay Packers are in the midst of a long year as they come in it at 4-5 so far and are in 4th place in the NFC North. On Sunday night they look to get back on track when they invade FedEx Field to brawl with the 5-3-1 Washington Redskins. This NFL contest will be televised on NBC with a start time of 8:30 pm EST.

Vegas odds have the Redskins listed as 2.5 point favorites, while the total has been set at 50.5.

Breaking Down The Green Bay Packers

This has not been the best year for the Packers are they are just 4-5 so far and come in off a horrible 47-25 loss at Tennessee. The Packers are 4th in their division, but are still not out of the race as they trail the Lions and Vikings by just one game. The offense played pretty well in the loss to the Titans, but their defense had a very bad game as they allowed 446 yards, including 162 yards on the ground and their run defense has been a strength of the team this year. They also allowed Marcus Mariota to throw for 295 yards and four TDs in the game. They just couldn’t stop a very average Tennessee offense. Overall this year the Packers rank 10th in total yards allowed, 16th vs the Pass, 4th vs run and 24th in points allowed, giving up 26.0 ppg.That defense has really hurt them this year, but so has their inconsistent offense, which is now in the midst of their 2nd year in a row struggling. The Packers were 25th in the league in passing last year and 22nd in total offense, while this year they are 15th in total offense, 14th in passing 19th in rushing and 11th in scoring, putting up just 24.8 ppg. These are just not rankings that we have been used to seeing from the Packers. They have some work to do on both sides of the ball right now.

Trends: The Packers have gone 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game, but just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in November. The Over is 42-19-1 in their last 62 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game, while the Under is 14-5 in their last 19 vs. the NFC.

Breaking Down The Washington Redskins

The Washington Redskins started the year at 0-2, but after taking out Minnesota last week by a 26-20 score, they are now 5-3-1 on the year. They are 3rd in the very tough NFC East, where all four teams above .500 so far. This is the toughest division in the league right now and the Redskins hope to keep pace with the rest of the team by taking this game over a struggling Green Bay team. The Skins have been a solid offensive team so far as they come in ranked 4th in the league in total yards, 3rd in passing 12th in rushing and 16th in scoring, putting up 23.6 ppg. Hard to imagine that Kirk Cousins would be having the better season than Aaron Rodgers this year, but that is the case as Cousins has a QBR of 94.8, while Rodgers has one of 93.9 so far. Not a big difference, but still it does tell a story of both teams. On defense, the Redskins have been a bit below average as they come in ranked 21st in yards allowed, 15th vs the pass, 23rd vs the run and 17th in points allowed, giving up 23.2 ppg. They hope for better results this week vs a Green bay offense that has been inconsistent this year.  

Trends:  The Redskins have gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game and 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, but just 9-25-2 ATS in their last 36 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Over is 10-1 in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, while the Under is 12-5 in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

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