Free NCAAF Picks: Navy vs. Army

One of the greatest rivalries in college football will be renewed this Saturday afternoon at M&T Bank Field in Baltimore when the Navy Midshipmen battle it out against the Army Black Knights. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. (ET), and the game will be broadcast nationally on CBS.

Navy was able to notch that key sixth victory of the season with a thrilling 42-40 win against South Alabama on Nov. 28 as a 7.5-point road favorite. This team appears to be peaking at just the right time after a slow 2-5 start with four straight up wins in its last five games. The Midshipmen are 3-1 against the spread in their last four outings, and each time the total went “over” the closing line.

It has been another tough campaign for the Black Knights with a 4-7 record both SU and ATS heading into this storied showdown. The one positive has been a 2-1 mark both SU and ATS in their last three games with solid victories over Connecticut and Fordham sandwiched around a lopsided 52-24 loss to Western Kentucky as 7.5-point road underdogs. The total has gone over in all three games.

Navy vs. Army Betting Storylines

The Midshipmen remain a team built around a powerful rushing attack that has averaged 357.8 yards a game. Keenan Reynolds has led the way at the quarterback position with 1,082 rushing yards and 20 touchdowns on 205 carries. He has also put the ball up 96 times for 749 yards and five scores on 43 completions. Noah Copeland has actually been the most productive runner with 8.2 yards a carry. This has added up to 859 yards and five more touchdowns.

Navy’s offense is ranked 33rd in the nation in scoring with 34.5 points a game, and it has been able to exceed this total in its last five games. Defensively, the Midshipmen have had their issues this year by allowing an average of 29.9 points. Even in their recent run, this unit allowed 31 points in a win over San Jose State, and it was torched for 49 points in a loss to Notre Dame.

The Black Knights are another team driven by the ground game with an average of 305.5 yards a game. Larry Dixon is the team’s leading rusher with 1,012 yards on 176 attempts for an average of 5.8 yards a carry, but the most versatile player could be Angel Santiago. While some of the top quarterbacks in the nation have thrown for more yards in a game then he has thrown all season long (488), he has also been an integral part of the running game with 793 yards and a team-high 10 touchdowns on the ground.

Army’s offense has not always been that productive putting points on the board, and overall it is averaging 26.3 points a game. However, this unit combined for 77 points in those final two wins against the Huskies and the Rams. Defense has not been this team’s strong suit in any of the Black Knights’ first 11 games. They have allowed 34.4 points a game this season, including an average of 28.9 points in their four wins.

Navy vs. ArmyBetting Odds and Trends
Pointspread: Navy -15
Total Line: OFF

The betting trends have Navy coming into this game with a 3-1 record ATS in its last four games played at a neutral site, but the Midshipmen are just 2-4 ATS in their last six games as favorites. The total has gone over in their last four games.

The Black Knights have gone 2-6 ATS in their last eight games, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as underdogs. The total has gone over in five of their last six games.

Navy brings a five-game SU winning streak into this year’s matchup, and it holds an 8-4 edge ATS in the last 12 meetings. The total has stayed “under” in the last five games.

College Football Picks: Navy vs. Army Betting Predictions

These two bitter rivals gear up all season for this one single game, so you know that emotions will be running high from the opening kickoff to the final gun. It would be hard to see Navy losing this game SU, but I am taking Army and the 15 points to keep things close enough to cover.

Take: # 303 Army (+15) over Navy- 3 p.m. Saturday, Dec. 13

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