Free NCAA Pick: Northern Illinois at Ohio

This is a lot of points for a conference game so I’ll bite. Northern Illinois isn’t good, but they have done a good job for their backers at the pay window, cashing seven of their last nine tickets. This team pulled an upset last time they took to the road, beating Miami (OH) by 11 as an 8 point underdog.

Both Ohio and N. Illinois have played UMass recently. Ohio last on the road by nine points to the Minutemen while the Huskies only lost by five at home.

After the Bobcats only managed to beat Western Michigan by two points when the Broncos shot 28.3% from the floor, I don’t see how they can win by 20+ points tonight against Northern Illinois.

Fade double digit favorites off a close road win by three or less with a winning record on the season when they are playing a sub. 500 team. This situation is 69-36 (65.7%) the last five years.

Play on Northern Illinois +19

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