Free NCAA Pick: Akron at Eastern Michigan

Akron is an excellent team as evidenced by their 15 straight wins, but they are starting to be overvalued by oddsmakers as this team has now lost two straight against the spread.

The public will still refuse to go against a team that has won this many games in a row, but you actually want to play against favorites who have won nine or more straight games in February games. This situation is 103-60 (63.2%) ATS the last five seasons.

When a team takes to the road as a favorite having won six or more in a row during the month of February, fading those teams would have gone 106-58 (64.6%) ATS the last five years.

Last year Eastern Michigan lost by 30 at Akron and you can bet this team didn’t forget that embarrassment. Eastern Michigan is actually an underrated team. They are 4-5 against common opponents, but outscoring their foes by 2 ppg. They shoot at a decent clip, win on the glass and don’t lose the turnover battle. This is a live home dog here tonight.

Play on Eastern Michigan +9

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