Free NBA and NCAA picks for Monday

#710 Take Houston +5 over Miami (8 p.m. ET)

While this Houston club is a decent squad this season, we like this pick more for going against Miami than anything else. This Heat squad is the most public team in the NBA so you are going to get extra line value when you go against them in just about every game this season. That does not mean we will blindly bet them every game. The Heat are going to go through a couple stretches this season where they pulverize every team by double-digits for a week or two. During the playoffs they should dominate again over a weak Eastern Conference. But we see this team going through the motions for much of the regular season and they are good enough to do that and still get a prime playoff seed. But when you add in these factors: public lines, lack of full effort night in and night out not to mention that every team is going to bring their “A Game” every night against the Heat and this team is just not likely to have a winning ATS record at the end of the season. And we are going to definitely look for situations to get points with the home team, especially with a pretty good team like this Houston club, throughout the regular season.

Take #748 Delaware -8 over Penn (9:30 p.m. ET):

Delaware has dropped the last two in this series these last two years but no doubt they have the much better of the two teams coming into this season. They come back with four starters off a solid 18 win team. They went on the road in their opener and battled a very good La Salle team to a seven point loss.

Penn comes in having covered just three of their last eleven games against the number. The Quakers are missing a couple top players from last year’s 20 win team including the Ivy league player of the year. That 20 win season was a huge step forward for a program that was usually in the 10-13 win range most year’s and who had just 6 win’s a couple of season’s back. Penn struggled in their opener against a bad Maryland Baltimore County team, winning by only five at home against them.

Delaware will have revenge on their minds plus want to get their first win of the season here. Take Delaware minus the points in this one.

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