Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs NFL AFC Divisional Playoffs Betting Preview

Screen Shot 2017-01-12 at 3.26.41 PMThe redhot Pittsburgh Steelers visit Arrowhead Stadium versus the Kansas City Chiefs in a Divisional Playoffs battle. The 12-5 Steelers took care of Miami in the Wildcard round and have now won their last eight games, while the 12-4 Chiefs won the AFC West and are coming off a bye. This Sunday contest has a start time of 1:05 pm EST.

Vegas odds have the Chiefs listed as 1.5 point favorites, while the total has been set at 46. This contest will be televised on NBC with a start time of 1:05 pm EST.

Breaking Down The Pittsburgh Steelers

The Pittsburgh Steelers have really been hot as they won their last 7 games in a row to end the regular season and then they beat the Dolphins by a 30-12 score in the Wildcard round. The big news at the end of that game was that Ben Roethlisberger was seen in a walking boot after the game, but he stated that he will be playing in this game. They do need him as he has really made this offense go. Ben threw for 3819 yards this year with 29 TDs and 13 INTs. He had a QBR of 95.4, which was 11th in the league. His big target was Antonio Brown, who had 1284 yards receiving, which was 5th in the league. Le’Veon Bell didn’t really have a great start to hi year, but he did rumble for 139.2 ypg on the ground over his final 6 games of the regular season and then went out and had 167 yards rushing vs a bad Miami Run defense. He will face another bad run defense in this one. Pittsburgh ranked 7th in total offense, 6th in passing, 14th in rushing and 11th in scoring, putting up 24.9 ppg. The defense for the Steelers did not play well early in the year, but they have now allowed just 16.6 ppg in their last eight games, including the win over Miami. On the year, the steelers were 12th in total defense, 16th vs the pass, 13th vs the run and 10th in points allowed, giving up just 20.4 ppg. They allowed just 305 yards of offense to the Dolphins. They allowed n357 yards of offense in the first meeting between these teams, but still won 43-14.

Trends: The Steelers have gone 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win and 12-3-3 ATS in their last 18 games in January, but 0-3-2 ATS in their last 5 playoff road games, while the road team is 1-7 ATS the last 8 games in this series. The Over is 21-6-1 in their last 28 games in January, while the Under is 21-8-1 in their last 30 vs. AFC.

Breaking Down The Kansas City Chiefs

While the Steelers were having a cakewalk against the Dolphins, the Chiefs were sitting at home, getting rest. They won the AQFC West with a 12-4 record and were able to grab a bye week in the first round. The Chiefs Won their last two games of the year and they went 6-2 at home. Looking over their stats overall, they don’t have a look of a 12-4 team. On defense, they allowed plenty of yards, but buckled down in the redzone, while on offense they didn’t look that good overall, but their defense did set them up in good field position many times. That defense will really need to be sharp in this one as the Steelers offense is hot and can put up big numbers at anytime. The Chiefs come in ranked 24th in total yards allowed, 18th vs the pass 26th vs the run and 7th in points allowed. That run defense is key and if they can’t stop a very hot Bell, then they will be in big trouble in this one. On offense they have a game manager at QB and Alex Smith has thrown for 3502 yards with a 15 TDs and 8 INTs. He had a QBR of 91.2, which was 16th in the league. During the regular season they ranked 20th in total offense, 19th in passing, 15th in rushing and 13th in scoring, putting up 24.3 ppg. This offense must now face a very hot defense.

Trends:  Kansas city has gone 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, but just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 playoff games. The Under is 21-7 in their last 28 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

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Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys NFL NFC Divisional Playoffs Betting Preview

Screen Shot 2017-01-12 at 3.35.50 PMThe Divisional Playoffs will conclude when Green Bay Packers travel to AT&T Stadium to rumble with the Dallas Cowboys. The Packers earned a right to move on with a 38-13 home win over the Giants, while the Cowboys had a stellar year allowing them to grab the number one seed in the NFC. This Sunday contest has a start time of 4:40 pm EST.

Vegas odds have the Cowboys listed as 4 point favorites, while the total has been set at 51.5. This contest will be televised on FOX with a start time of 4:40 pm EST.

Breaking Down The Green Bay Packers

The Green Bay Packers were sitting at 4-6 on the year and felt that they had to win out to get into the playoffs, Well, they did just that as they won their final six games of the year and then followed that up with a 38-13 drubbing of the Giants in the wildcard round. This team is very hot and their experience could very well give them an edge here over a Dallas team that has been led by a couple of rookies this year. The Packers did allow the giants to throw for 295 yards in the game, but a lot of that was at garbage time. They really played strong on defense when the outcome was still in question. That defense will really need to be on its toes vs one of the best offenses in the league. The Packers come in ranked 22nd in total defense, 31st vs the pass, 8th vs the run and 21st in points allowed, giving up 24.2 ppg. They will look to take away Elliott with their strong run defense and that means that Prescott will have to make plays to beat them. On offense, there hasn’t been a hotter QB down the stretch than Aaron Rodgers, who threw for at least 300 yards in six of his last nine games and he threw for 362 yards against a very strong Giants defense. In his last eight games, he has thrown for 22 TDs and no INTs. Amazing. For the year he threw for 4428 yards with 40 TDs and just 7 INTs, while posting a QBR of 104.2, which was 4th in the league. The Pack comes in at 8th in total offense, 7th in passing 20th in rushing and 4th in scoring, putting up 27.0 ppg.

Trends: The Packers have gone 6-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff road games and 36-15 ATS in their last 51 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game, but just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Dallas. The Over is 5-0 in their last 5 games following a straight up win and 6-1 in their last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Breaking Down The Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys had a great year as they went 13-3 overall and won the NFC East. For a long while it was just the Giants that beat the Cowboys this year, but then they fell in their season finale against the Eagles. It was a meaningless game and they rested plenty of starters in that game. This team is now fresh and rather healthy and anxious to get their playoffs started, but they will be facing one of the hottest teams with the hottest QB in the league in this one. The Cowboys will be ready. They have been led this year by a rookie QB and a rookie RB and they come in ranked 5th in total offense, 23rd in passing, 2nd in rushing and 5th in scoring, putting up 26.3 ppg. Their ground game has been great with Ezekiel Elliott, who has run for 1631 yards to lead the league. He could have a tough time in this one vs a good Packers run defense and if he is stopped, then Dak Prescott will have to make plays. He was strong this year as he posted a QBR of 104.9, which was 3rd in the league. He has been cool under pressure all year, but this is now the playoffs and we will see if that composure holds up. The defense really has its work cut out as they are facing a very good offense. Rodgers did throw for 294 yards in the first meeting between these teams, but Dallas won that game 30-16. The Cowboys come in ranked 14th in total yards, 26th vs the pass, 1st vs the run and 5th in points allowed, giving up just 19.1 ppg. Tat pass defense is a little misleading as they have allowed a lot of garbage yards this year when the game was not in doubt.  

Trends: The Cowboys have gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game and the host is 10-4 ATS the last 14 games in this series, but they are just 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games on fieldturf and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. The Under is 6-1 in their last 7 games in January and 7-2 in their last 9 games following a straight up loss.

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Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons NFL NFC Divisional Playoffs Betting Preview

Screen Shot 2017-01-12 at 3.35.50 PMNFL Divisional round as the Seattle Seahawks, who won the NFC West, visit the Atlanta Falcons, who won the NFC South. The Seahawks beat the Lions in the Wildcard round, 26-6; while the Falcons are coming off a bye week. This contest takes place Saturday, Jan 14th, at the Georgia Dome with a start time of 4:35 pm EST.

Vegas odds have the Falcons listed as 4 point favorites, while the total has been set at 51. This contest will be televised on FOX with a start time of 4:35 pm EST.

Breaking Down The Seattle Seahawks

The Seattle Seahawks move on to the divisional round with a 26-6 thumping of the Detroit Lions in the Wildcard round Their defense played very well vs a good Detroit offense as they allowed the Lions to put up just 231 yards of total offense in the game. That defense has really been what has led them this year as they ranked 6th in total yards allowed, 8th vs the pass, 7th vs the run and 3rd in points allowed, giving up just 18.2 ppg. These teams did meet early in the year and while the Seahawks won the game 26-24, they did allow 310 yards passing in the game. They must clean that up in this game, especially here at the Georgia Dome, where this Atlanta offense has been great this year. On offense, the seahawks have not been great this year, especially their running game, but still they have averaged a solid 26 ppg in their last six games and that offense really has a chance to have a good game vs an Atlanta offense that has been bad this year. The Seahawks have been led by Russell Wilson, who threw for 4219 yards with 21 TDs and 11 INTs. His QBR of 92.6 was 14th in the league. The Seahawks ranked 12th in the league in total offense, 10th in passing, 25th in rushing and 18th in scoring, putting up just 22.1 ppg.

Trends: Seattle has gone 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 47-23-2 ATS in their last 72 games on fieldturf, but just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. The Over is 6-1 in their last 7 Divisional Playoffs games, while the Under is 9-4 in their last 13 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.

Breaking Down The Atlanta Falcons

The Atlanta Falcons won the NFC South with an 11-5 record and they won their last four games down the stretch to secure the 2nd seed in the conference. They were 5-3 here at home and they averaged 36.0 ppg in those games, while scoring 28 points or more in their final seven games here at the Georgia Dome. The Falcons have been led all year by their offense, especially down the stretch as they averaged 38.5 ppg over their final four games. Matt Ryan has had a great year as he threw for 4944 yards with 38 TDs and just 7 INTs. His QBR of 117.1 was tops in the league. His favorite target was Julio Jones, who missed a couple of games down the stretch but still finished 2nd in the league in receiving with 1409 yards. During the regular season, the Falcons ranked 2nd in total offense, 3rd in passing, 5th in rushing and 1st in scoring putting up 33.8 ppg on the year. They will test a very good Seattle defense and they will need their offense to have a good showing if they want to win this game, especially with a defense that has been very bad they year for the Falcons. Atlanta comes in ranked 25th in total defense, 28th vs the pass, 17th vs the run and 27th in points allowed, giving up 25.4 ppg.

Trends:  The Falcons have gone 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win, but just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 playoff games. The Over is 10-1-1 in their last 12 vs. NFC, while the Under is Under is 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

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Houston Texans vs New England Patriots NFL AFC Divisional Playoffs Betting Preview

Screen Shot 2017-01-12 at 3.26.41 PMNFL AFC Divisional round pairs the Houston Texans against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium. The 10-7 Texans moved on from the Wildcard round with a 27-14 home win over Oakland, while the top-seeded 14-2 Patriots are off a bye and have won their last seven games. This contest is Saturday, Jan 14, at 8:15 pm EST.

Vegas odds have the Patriots listed as 16.5 point favorites, while the total has been set at 44.5. This contest will be televised on CBS with a start time of 8:15 pm EST.

Breaking Down The Houston Texans

The Houston Texans had all sorts of issues at the QB spot this year, but they did win their division and here they are in the divisional round of the playoffs. They are huge dogs in this game, but at least they are here and in their last game Brock Osweiler finally looked like the guy they paid a ton of money to lure away from Denver. He was benched down the stretch but was back in action for their playoff game vs the Raiders due to an injury to Tom Savage. Osweiler threw for 168 yards with a TD and no INTs. He posted a QBR of 90.1 in that game, which is far better than the 72.2 QBR that he had for the year. They will need him to have a good game, but he will be facing a far better defense in this one than the one he faced last week. The Texans will need to rely on Lamar Miller at RB as well and he had 73 yards and a TD vs the Raiders. Houston ranked 29th in total offense, 29th in passing, 8th in rushing and 29th in scoring at 17.4 ppg during the regular season. The defense is what led this team and it will have to be at the top of its game vs a very good New England offense. The Texans allowed just 203 yards of total offense to the Raiders, but they were facing a 3rd string QB in that game and Brady is anything but that. During the regular season, the Texans ranked 1st in total defense, 2nd vs the pass, 12th vs the run and 11th in points allowed, giving up just 20.5.

Trends: The Texans have gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game, but just 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games on fieldturf and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Under is 5-1 in their last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game and 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Breaking Down The New England Patriots

The New England Patriots have the number 1 seed in the AFC after going 14-2 on the year and winning another division title. This is a team that had to play their first four games of the year without Tom Brady, but weathered that storm on their way to the league’s best record. They have won their last seven games in a row and have outscored their last three opponents by 24 ppg. The Patriots have gone 6-2 at home and one of their home wins was a 27-0 win over Houston, which came earlier in the year, when Brady was on suspension. What will they do in this game with him? Brady had an incredible year as he threw for 3554 yards with 28 TDs and just two INTs. The yards aren’t there overall, but remember he did miss 4 games. His QBR of 112.2 was 2nd in the league. During the regular season, the Pats ranked 4th in total offense, 4th in passing, 7th in rushing and 3rd in scoring, putting up 27.6 ppg. The Pats are not all about offense, as their defense has been very solid this year and it could very well have a good game vs a Houston offense that just hasn’t been that good this year. The Pat ranked 8th in total defense, 12th vs the pass, 3rd vs the run and 1st in points allowed, giving up just 15.6 ppg. The Pats are missing Gronk for the playoffs and one has to wonder if his loss will hurt them at all

Trends:  The Patriots have gone 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and 24-9-2 ATS in their last 35 home games. The Over is  6-1-1 in their last 8 Saturday games and 12-5 in their last 17 games in January.

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Oakland Raiders vs Houston Texans NFL Wildcard Playoffs Betting Preview

Screen Shot 2017-01-05 at 3.44.07 PMThe NFL’s Wildcard weekend begins with a couple of teams dealing with QB injuries as the Oakland Raiders brawl with the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium in Houston. The Raiders went 12-4 during the regular season and they were 6-2 on the road, while the 9-7 Texans went a very solid 7-1 here at home. This contest has a start time of 1:00 pm EST.

Vegas odds have the Texans listed as 3.5 point favorites, while the total has been set at 36.5. This contest will be televised on ESPN with a start time of 4:35 pm EST.

Breaking Down The Oakland Raiders

The Oakland Raiders are in the playoffs for the first time since 2007, but the player who really led them this year, will not be a part of the postseason. Derek Carr was injured in the 2nd to last game of the year and last week with Matt McGloin getting the start, their offense sputtered vs the Broncos. They scored just 6 points in the loss and McGloin threw for just 21 yards, before leaving the game with a shoulder injury. He is now listed as questionable and if he can’t go then it will be rookie Connor Cook, who threw for 150 yards with a TD and an INT last week vs the Broncos. The Raiders may have to rely on their solid ground attack in this one and that means more Latavius Murray, who ran for 788 yards and 12 TDs, while also posting 264 yards receiving. The WR corps is very strong with Amari Cooper and michael Crabtree, but how effective will they be without Carr getting them the ball? The Raiders come in ranked 6th in total offense, 13th in passing, 6th in rushing and 7th in scoring, putting up 26.0 ppg. The defense will really need to step up and it has struggled this year, but they will not be taking on a great offense in this one, especially with the Texans having QB issues of their own. This defense comes in ranked 26th in total yards allowed, 24th vs the pass, 23rd vs the run and 20th in points allowed, giving up 24.1 ppg.

Trends: The Raiders have gone 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game and 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games following a ATS loss. The Over is 18-7-1 in their last 26 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, while the Under is 5-1 in their last 6 games in January.

Breaking Down The Houston Texans

The Houston Texans played in the weakest division in the league this year and they used that to take the AFC South division title. They finished the year with a 24-17 loss at Tennessee in a game that meant nothing, but it could have been a costly game as they lost QB Tom Savage, who left with a concussion. He is listed as questionable for this game and if he can’t go then it will be back to Brock Osweiler, who was benched earlier in the year due to ineffectiveness. Brock has a QB of just 72.2, which ranks as 29th in the league. Osweiler did throw for 253 yards and one TD last week vs the Titans, but can he do it as a starter again. We shall see. The Texans have been a bad offensive team this year and will have to rely on Lamar Miller, who has run for 1073 yards, despite the fact that he missed the last two games. He will play in this one. The Texans come in ranked 29th in total offense, 29th in passing, 8th in rushing and 29th in scoring, putting up just 17.4 ppg. The Texans will also have to rely on their defense and it has been a good one this year, plus they will be taking on a team that may be down to it’s 3rd string QB. The Texans come in ranked 1st in the league in total defense, 2nd vs the pass, 12th vs the run and 11th in points allowed, giving up just 20.5 ppg.   

Trends:  The Texans have gone 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, but just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. The Over is 4-1 the last five games in this series, while the Under is 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

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