Notre Dame vs. Wisconsin College Football Week 4 Preview and Best Bet

 

Graham Mertz #5 of the Wisconsin Badgers throws a pass. John Fisher/Getty Images/AFP

Graham Mertz #5 of the Wisconsin Badgers throws a pass. John Fisher/Getty Images/AFP

 

The Wisconsin Badgers might belong in Saturday’s Week 4 NCAAF picks when they face the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Soldier Field.

 

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Wisconsin Badgers

at Soldier Field

 

Something is not quite right with the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS). They’ve won all three of their games thus far, but it took some work; last week’s 27-13 win over the Purdue Boilermakers needed a fourth-quarter rally to earn Notre Dame their only cover of the season, cashing them in as 7.5-point home faves on the NCAAF odds board. And yet they somehow managed to hold onto the No. 12 spot on the AP poll. It hasn’t been a smooth start for the No. 18 Wisconsin Badgers (1-1 SU and ATS), either. But they should be the right choice for your Week 4 college football picks – if you can still get them as 4.5-point favorites at DraftKings by the time you read this. That’s a bargain price compared to most online sportsbooks, who have the Badgers laying up to 6.5 points at Soldier Field.

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Oregon vs. Ohio State College Football Week 2 Preview and Best Bet

Defensive tackle Brandon Dorlus #3 of the Oregon Ducks reacts. Steve Dykes/Getty Images/AFP

Defensive tackle Brandon Dorlus #3 of the Oregon Ducks reacts. Steve Dykes/Getty Images/AFP

 

The Ohio State Buckeyes need some help if they’re going to beat the Oregon Ducks and the NCAAF odds this Saturday.

Oregon Ducks vs. Ohio State

at Ohio Stadium

This is the Year of the New Quarterback in college football. With so many talented pivots making their way to the NFL in 2021, there were plenty of job openings among the top contenders on the NCAAF odds board. Some teams have done better than others at filling those positions; the defending champion Alabama Crimson Tide, for example, ruined my Week 1 college football picks when Bryce Young threw four touchdowns passes in a 44-13 romp over the Miami Hurricanes (+19.5).

He’ll be a fine replacement for Mac Jones. The Ohio State Buckeyes, on the other hand, have to be concerned about last week’s 45-31 victory over the Wisconsin Badgers (+14 at home). C.J. Stroud looked a bit nervous in his first start for the Bucks after backing up Justin Fields (now with the Chicago Bears) last year. Stroud eventually found his footing and threw four TD passes of his own, but he’ll have to do better this Saturday versus the No. 12 Oregon Ducks if Ohio State want to cover that massive 14.5-point spread at Caesars Sportsbook.

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No. 1 Alabama vs. No. 14 Miami College Football Week 1 Picks: Hurricane Season

D' Eriq King #1 of the Miami Hurricanes. Andy Lyons/Getty Images/AFP

D’ Eriq King #1 of the Miami Hurricanes. Andy Lyons/Getty Images/AFP

 

The No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide are way too chalky to be the right NCAAF pick for Saturday’s matchup with the No. 14 Miami Hurricanes.

No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide vs. No. 14 Miami Hurricanes

 Saturday 4th September 2021 (3:30 p.m. ET, ABC) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta

There’s only one alpha dog in college football: the No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide. They’re the defending national champions, and they’ve won six times since Nick Saban took over the program in 2007. That’s insane when you consider there are 130 teams in the FBS. Naturally, Alabama are favored to make it seven titles this year, checking in at +300 on the NCAAF odds board at Unibet. Everyone else is playing catch-up.

That includes the No. 14 Miami Hurricanes (+8000). However, when it comes to Saturday’s season-opener in Atlanta, there’s no question the Hurricanes belong in your college football picks. They’re getting 20 points at BetMGM, which is a lot of points for a Top 25 team that’s poised to challenge for the ACC title. And this is a neutral-site game, too, even if there will be plenty of ‘Bama fans in attendance.

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Clemson Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide National Championship Game Betting Preview

Screen Shot 2017-01-05 at 4.08.35 PMThis year’s National Championship game is a rematch of last year’s contest as #2 ranked Clemson Tigers look for better luck this year against #1 Alabama Crimson Tide in Tampa. The Tigers beat Ohio State 31-0, while the Tide took out Washington 24-7. Alabama won last year’s game by a score of 45-40. This contest has a start time of 8:00 pm EST on January 9.

Vegas odds have the Crimson Tide listed as 6 point favorites, while the total has been set at 53. The game has a start time of 8;00 pm EST and will be televised on ESPN.

Breaking Down The Clemson Tigers

The Clemson Tigers are in the title game once again and will be looking to make amends for last year’s 45-40 loss at the hands of Alabama. They got here by taking out the Ohio State buckeyes 31-0, in an extremely impressive defensive display. Defense isn’t usually what comes to mind when people think of the Tigers, but this team has played solid defense this year and that had a great game plan against the buckeyes. They will need to have a strong game plan for this one as well. The defense really struggled in last year’s meeting vs the Tide as they allowed 473 yards in that game, including 335 through the air. This year they will have to concentrate more on the run vs this team and they just held the Buckeyes to a mere 88 yards on the ground and that was a top five rushing offense coming in. The Tigers come in ranked 8th in total yards allowed, 16th vs the pass, 19th vs the run and 7th in points allowed, giving up just 17.1 ppg. On offense they have been led by Deshaun Watson, who threw for 4173 yar4ds and 38 TDs, but did have 17 INTs. He also ran for 581 yards and 8 TDs. Last year he threw for 405 yards with four TDs and just 1 INT vs the Tide. He will need another big game here. The Tigers come in ranked 12th in total offense, 7th in passing, 63rd in rushing and 13th in scoring, putting up 39.5 ppg

Breaking Down Alabama Crimson Tide

Can anyone beat the Crimson Tide? This team just continues to win national titles, even though they lose a ton of talent each year. Last year they were in a wild game in this contest and allowed Clemson 550 yards of total offense, including 405 through the air. That defense is not known for allowing numbers like that and they have allowed more than 16 points just twice all year and they have allowed just 6.83 ppg over their last 6 games. Don’t expect that to happen here, although they did just allow 194 total yards in their win over Washington to get to this game. The Tide comes in ranked 1st in the nation in total defense, 12th vs the pass, 1st vs the run and 1st in points allowed, giving up just 11.4 ppg. Very strong defense, but this will be the best offense that they have faced this year so far. On offense they have been led by freshman QB Jalen Hurts, who threw for 2620 yards and 21 TDs, while also rushing for 891 yards and 12 more TDs. He played very well last week in what many felt could be a tough spot for the youngster. The experience in that game can only help him here. It also helps that he has Damien Harris (1013 yards rushing) and Bo Scarbrough (719 yards rushing) to0 help him out. Scarbrough had 180 yards rushing last week vs a tough Washington defense, which is an Alabama Bowl record. The Tide comes in ranked 31st in total offense, 85th in passing, 11th in rushing and 15th in scoring, putting up 39.4 ppg.

Trends: The Tigers have gone 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. The Over is 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record, while the Under is 10-4 in their last 14 bowl games.

The Crimson Tide have gone 14-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. The Over is 19-6-1 in their last 26 neutral site games, while the Under is 5-1 in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

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UTSA Roadrunners vs New Mexico Lobos NCAAF New Mexico Bowl Betting Preview

Screen Shot 2016-12-15 at 12.56.54 PMSaturday afternoon CFB action as the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners rumble with the New Mexico Lobos in the New Mexico Bowl at University Stadium in Albuquerque. The Roadrunners went 6-6 and will be playing in their first ever bowl game, while the 8-4 Lobos have gone just 3-7-1 in bowl history. This contest has a start time of 2:00 pm EST.

Vegas odds have the Lobos listed as 7 point favorites, while the total has been set at 61.5. The game has a start time of 2:00 pm EST and will be televised on ESPN.

Breaking Down The UTSA Roadrunners

The UTSA Roadrunners are in just their 6th year of existence at the FBS level and this is their first bowl game that they will be playing in. They never got here under Larry Coker, but first year coach Frank Wilson was able to turn the trick for them. They went just 6-6 on the year and lost two of their final three games, but still got into a bowl thanks to beating Charlotte 33-14 in their final game of the season. The Roadrunners have been led this year by QB Dalton Sturm, who threw for 2052 yards with 18 TDs and just 15 INTs. Not great numbers, but he didn’t make a ton of mistakes either. The offense for the Roadrunners was not great overall as they come in ranked 97th in total offense, 76th in passing, 91st in rushing and 63rd in scoring, putting up 29.9 ppg. On the defensive side of the ball, they have been a bit better as they come in ranked 58th in total yards allowed, 81st vs the pass, 52nd vs the run and 69th in points allowed, giving up 28.3 ppg. Their run defense has been decent this year, but the triple option of the Lobos is the best in the nation, so they they will really have to be on their toes for this one.

Breaking Down The New Mexico Lobos

Bob Divie couldn’t get the job done at Notre Dame, but he has done a very solid team in building this Lobos team and after going just 11-26 in his first 3 years here, they have now gone 15-10 the last two years and after falling last year in this game, their next step is to win a bowl game for the first time since 2007. This year they were 8-4 and finished in a tied atop the MWC West Division. The Lobos have been led by their powerful ground attack, which comes in ranked 1st in the nation, grinding out 360.9 ypg on the ground. This is not an easy offense to stop at all and no one has been able to this year so far. Leading the ground game has been Teriyon Gipson, who has run for 1209 yards and Tyrone Owens, who has run for 1084 yards and 7 TDs. That is a strong 1-2 punch and the Roadrunners will have their hands full with this offense. Overall, the Lobos are 27th in total offense, 127th in passing and 21st in scoring, putting up 37.8 ppg. On the defenses side of the ball they have been average at best as they come in ranked 56th in total yards allowed, 71st vs the pass, 61st vs the run and 95th in points allowed at 32.4 ppg.; They will give up points, but their offense has been able to put up more.

Trends: The Roadrunners have gone 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game, but just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. The Over is 6-2 in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game, while the Under is 5-1 in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

The Lobos have gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game, but just 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. CUSA. The Over is 12-2 in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game, while the Under is 8-2 in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.

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