Ohio State has been on a big of a hot streak covering in 6 of their last 8 games, but Arizona has been playing well too covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread. You should always play against a team like Ohio State that has covered 6 of their last 8 games against the spread when they are a team winning 80% or more of their games playing another good team winning 60-80% of their games. This system is 128-78 (62%) ATS over the last five seasons. Ohio State is … [Read more...]

This game means a lot more to the Cyclones than it does to the Cowboys. Iowa State has played great at home with a 15-1 record. This is also a revenge game for the Cyclones who blew a big lead late in the game and ended up losing by two points on the road against Oklahoma State back in January. The Cyclones know they are a bubble team right now and they need a strong finish in their last two games of the season. Playing at home is a huge advantage for Iowa State. They … [Read more...]

Both of these teams are 20+ win teams so this line seems like it is a little bigger than it should be. This matchup falls into a system to play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Boise State when they have covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, and they are playing only their 3rd game in a week. This system is 59-30 (66.3%) over the last 5 seasons. You should also play on a road team like Boise State when they are a good offensive team scoring 74-78 … [Read more...]

Yes, I realize Minnesota opening with 15 wins in its first 16 games is a distant memory. The Gophers have lost eight of their past 11. Their bad stretch began with an 88-81 road loss to Indiana on Jan. 26. The Gophers nearly came back from a 23-point deficit in that matchup. The Gophers have gotten blown out in their last two games, losing on the road to Ohio State and Iowa. The Gophers have turned the ball over a combined 41 times in those two games while shooting … [Read more...]

There are a lot of reasons to take South Alabama in this game and a whole lot more on why not to take Middle Tennessee State. You always want to play on road underdogs of 10 or more points when they are revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. Over the last five years this situation has come up quite a bit and delivered a 725-538 ATS record for 57.4% winners. You also want to play on road underdogs of 10 points or more when they are coming off two or more consecutive … [Read more...]