Mariners vs. Athletics MLB Picks: Should We Put Our Faith in Gonzales?

 

Marco Gonzales #7 of the Seattle Mariners. Abbie Parr/Getty Images/AFP

Marco Gonzales #7 of the Seattle Mariners. Abbie Parr/Getty Images/AFP

The Seattle Mariners and Oakland Athletics have a must-win game on Tuesday night. Here’s a complete preview, including updated odds and MLB picks.

Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics

Tuesday, September 21, 2021 – 09:40 PM EDT at Oakland Coliseum

In Marco We Trust!

Time is running out and both teams need this victory. Oakland is two games behind Toronto for the second Wild Card spot in the American League while Seattle is three games out. The Mariners and A’s aren’t exactly mashing the ball and while the Athletics have better numbers in five of seven key categories over the last month, the Mariners have a higher walk rate and they’ve hit more home runs.

Stats over the last 30 days:

Athletics

.731 OPS, 16th-best

Mariners

.701 OPS, 22nd-best

Athletics

.316 wOBA, 15th-best

Mariners

.306 wOBA, 21st-best

Athletics

104 wRC+, 13th-best

Mariners

98 wRC+, 16th-best

Athletics

19.4 K%, 5th-lowest

Mariners

22.1 K%, 13th-lowest

Athletics

8.1 BB%, 17th-highest

Mariners

9.4 BB%, 6th-highest

Athletics

.158 ISO, 21st-highest

Mariners

.150 ISO, 21st-highest

Athletics

28 Home Runs, 22nd-best

Mariners

31 Home Runs, 20th-best

The Mariners will give the ball to Marco Gonzales (5.32 FIP), while Paul Blackburn (5.10 FIP) takes the hill for the A’s. On paper, the Mariners have a favorable matchup, as they’re 13-9 in Gonzales’ 22 starts, earning 4.8 units. The A’s on the other hand, are down 0.1 units on a 3-3 record in Blackburn’s six starts.

Marco Gonzales (8-5, 4.05 ERA, 1.21 WHIP) allowed three earned runs on three hits (one home run) with seven strikeouts and two walks over six innings to get a no-decision in a 9-4 loss against the Red Sox last Wednesday. He is 1-0 with a 3.45 ERA and an 0.99 WHIP in three starts against the Athletics this season. The current A’s lineup is 59-for-223 (.256) against Gonzales and Matt Olson is 10-for-36 (.278) with five home runs and seven RBIs against him.

Paul Blackburn (1-2, 4.94 ERA, 1.57 WHIP) is coming off his first win of the season last Thursday after giving up just two earned runs on six hits (one home run) with three strikeouts and two walks over five innings in a 7-2 victory against the Royals. Blackburn allowed two earned runs on five hits (one home run) with five strikeouts and zero walks over 5 2/3 innings to get a no-decision in a 5-3 loss against the Mariners on August 23rd. He has to be careful with Mitch Haniger, who is 3-for-6 with two home runs and three RBIs against him.

[Read more...]

Padres vs. Giants MLB Picks: Should You Fade Arrieta in San Francisco?

Anthony DeSclafani #26 of the San Francisco Giants.   Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images/AFP

Anthony DeSclafani #26 of the San Francisco Giants. Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images/AFP

The San Diego Padres have a must-win game when they visit the San Francisco Giants on Tuesday. Here’s a complete preview, including updated odds and MLB picks.

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants

Tuesday, September 14, 2021 – 09:45 PM EDT at Oracle Park

Can Arrieta Help the Padres on Tuesday? 

The San Diego Padres were supposed to fight for the National League West title with the Dodgers but making the postseason won’t be easy, as they will have to play a win-or-go-home Wild Card game where anything can happen. The San Francisco Giants, on the other hand, are the biggest surprise of the season, and they need this game to keep their distance from the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Padres also can’t lose on Tuesday, with teams like the Reds, Phillies, Cardinals and Mets all waiting for them to collapse. San Diego scored just four runs while getting swept in their three-game series against Los Angeles at Dodger Stadium last weekend and the Giants beat them 9-1 on Monday. Their 73 Weighted Runs Created Plus (wRC+) in September ranks 28th in the majors and they’re 27th with a .276 Weighted On-Base Average (wOBA) in that span.

The Giants have won eight straight games and they rank third with a .329 Weighted On-Base Average (wOBA) and fourth in Weighted Runs Created Plus (wRC+) at 108. Brandon Belt, Mike Yastrzemski and Brandon Crawford lead the way on offense, all with 20 home runs or more and overall, the Giants have 10 players with at least 10 home runs.

The Padres will give the ball to Jake Arrieta (6.09 FIP), while the Giants turn to Anthony DeSclafani (3.75 FIP). This matchup favors the Giants, who are up 11 units behind DeSclafani this year while going 18-9 in his starts. Arrieta’s teams are 0-10 in his last 10 starts. Overall the Cubs and Padres are 1-12 in his last 13 starts and he’s cost them 9.3 units this season. The Padres are 0-2 in his two starts with them this year, down 2.45 units.

Jake Arrieta (5-12, 7.04 ERA, 1.73 WHIP) allowed three earned runs on three hits (one home run) with three strikeouts and one walk over five innings to get a no-decision in a 6-3 home loss against the Astros last Friday and he’s now 0-1 with an 8.89 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP in 8 1/3 innings over two starts with the Padres this season. The current Giants lineup is 23-for-117 (.247) against him but he gave up six earned runs on six hits (two home runs) with one strikeout and two walks over just two innings in an 8-5 loss against them on June 4th when he was with the Cubs.

Anthony DeSclafani (11-6, 3.33 ERA, 1.12 WHIP) allowed three earned runs on seven hits with five strikeouts and one walk over 4 1/3 innings to get a no-decision in a 7-4 road win against the Rockies last Wednesday and he’s after his first win since August 13th. The current Padres lineup is 24-for-113 (.162) against DeSclafani. Fernando Tatis Jr. is just 1-for-9 (.111) with one home run against him. The right-hander is 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP in three starts against the Padres this season.

[Read more...]

Rays vs. Red Sox MLB Picks: Will Franco Reach Base and Lead Tampa Bay to Victory?

Wander Franco #5 of the Tampa Bay Rays. Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Images/AFP

Wander Franco #5 of the Tampa Bay Rays. Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Images/AFP

The Boston Red Sox continue their crucial three-game series with the Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday. Here’s a complete preview, including updated odds and MLB picks.

[Read more...]

Red Sox vs. Rays MLB Picks: Will Boston Gain Ground in the AL East?

Randy Arozarena #56 of the Tampa Bay Rays celebrates with Nelson Cruz #23. Greg Fiume/Getty Images/AFP

Randy Arozarena #56 of the Tampa Bay Rays celebrates with Nelson Cruz #23. Greg Fiume/Getty Images/AFP

The Boston Red Sox continue their four-game series with the Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday. Here’s a complete preview, including updated odds and MLB picks.

[Read more...]

Dodgers vs. Padres: A Farewell To Arms

David Price #33 of the Los Angeles Dodgers throws. Ronald Martinez/Getty Images/AFP

David Price #33 of the Los Angeles Dodgers throws. Ronald Martinez/Getty Images/AFP

The L.A. Dodgers and San Diego Padres have multiple holes in their rotations. Who will beat the MLB odds when they meet this Tuesday?

 

 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres

Tuesday, August 24,  2021 at 10:00 PM EDT at Petco Park

 

There’s only one right way to throw a baseball: sidearm, with your elbow tucked in. Everything else puts unnatural strain on your body, and the more you pitch, the sooner you’re going to break down. For example, check out the starting rotation for the Los Angeles Dodgers, where Clayton Kershaw (forearm), Dustin May (elbow), Danny Duffy (elbow), Tony Gonsolin (shoulder) and Cole Hamels (arm) are all on the injured list as we go to press. That’s not good, especially with Trevor Bauer still on administrative leave. The San Diego Padres haven’t escaped unscathed, either. Their list of missing starters includes Yu Darvish (back), Dinelson Lamet (forearm), Mike Clevinger (elbow), Chris Paddack (oblique) and Jake Arrieta (hamstring). Add it all up, and you’ve got two teams who are struggling to fill out their rotations for Tuesday’s matchup at Petco Park – even though both L.A. and San Diego were off Monday. Does either team belong in your MLB picks?

[Read more...]