Bettors enticed by Marquez’s long odds

Some interesting numbers in Saturday night’s title fight between WBO welterweight champion Manny Pacquiao and Juan Manuel Marquez at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas (8 p.m. PT, HBO PPV).

Pacquiao (53-3-2, 38 KOs) opened as a -700 favorite versus Marquez (53-5-1, 39KOs) in what will be the third meeting between the two fighters. The first bout in 2004 ended in a draw; Pacquiao won the second fight in 2008 by split decision.

Since the fight was first posted, the odds have shifted heavily towards the 32-year-old champion. The line on Pacquiao now ranges from -900 to as much as -1200 at some online sportsbooks listed in the Sports Options odds service.

Perhaps not surprisingly, those inflated odds have pushed betting action towards the 38-year-old challenger. According to the Sports Options odds service, 64 percent of public money is now on Marquez.

Marquez, the reigning lightweight WBA and WBO champion, is coming off a string of three straight victories, the last two of which were by TKO. The 5-foot-7 Mexican’s last loss was by unanimous decision to Floyd Mayweather Jr. in 2009.

Pacquiao, meanwhile, has not been beaten since 2005 when he lost by unanimous decision to Erik Morales. The 5-foot-6 Filipino has won 14 fights since then, including a 12-round unanimous decision victory over “Sugar” Shane Mosley in May.

The total for Saturday’s scheduled 12-rounder has been pegged at 10.5 rounds. The public is leaning towards the UNDER (58 percent), which stands to reason considering both fighters have a considerable number of knockouts on their resumes.

Looking at fight props offered by 5Dimes.com, the odds favor a Pacquiao win by way of knockout (odds as of Thursday, Nov. 10 at 2:15 p.m. PT):

Marquez by decision: +2083
Marquez by KO: +1222
Pacquiao by decision: +215
Pacquiao by KO: -170
Draw: +3500
No Draw: -6000

Vegas hosts WBC Welterweight title fight

The MGM Grand Garden in Las Vegas will be the venue for Saturday night’s WBC Welterweight title fight between defending champion Victor Ortiz and Floyd Mayweather Jr.

Most sports books monitored by the SportsOptions odds product opened Mayweather as a $6.50 favorite (bet $6.50 to win $1.00), with Ortiz a $4.75 underdog (bet $1.00 to win $4.75).

However, money has since arrived on Mayweather, moving the number to minus $7.50 in many books.

One of the more popular propositions in any fight is wagering on how many rounds the bout will last, and this title fight is no exception.

Those believing the bout will go ‘over’ 11 ½ rounds must wager $1.85 to win $1.00. The ‘under’ 11 ½ rounds is plus $1.60 (wager $1.00 to win $1.60).

Ortiz is plus $1700 to win by a decision and plus $760 to win by a knockout. Mayweather us minus $140 to win by a decision and plus $225 to win by a knockout. Betting that the fight will end in a draw is plus $5500.

This will be the first time Mayweather has been in the ring since he registered a unanimous decision victory over Shane Mosley in May of 2010. Ortiz returns after scoring the biggest win of his career in April where he moved up in weight and took the WBC title from Andre Berto.

Ortiz received much hype as the future of boxing until he was forced to quit by Marcus Maidana in the sixth round of their 2009 bout.

Ortiz bounced back and was on the path to challenge Amir Khan or Timothy Bradley after recording two knockdowns in the third round of his fight with Lamont Peterson.

However, Peterson rallied and out-boxed and outworked the tiring Ortiz in the later half of the fight to earn a draw. This result seemed to eliminate Ortiz’s name from many of the big fights.

When Ortiz moved up in weight to fight Berto, it seemed that it was meant to build Berto’s name up for a big fight.

Since Ortiz had to make 140 pounds for this fight against Mayweather, many experts are wondering if that is too much of a drain for Ortiz to handle.

There is also some concern that Mayweather might be suffering from a bit of ring rust. Since 2008,  Mayweather has fought twice, both times going 12 rounds in one sided affairs. Ortiz has fought 11 times and over 70 rounds.

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